Thursday, May 21, 2015

India 2019 - PM Modi's 5th Year as CEO of the Nation

By 11.59pm (2359 hrs) on  the 25th of May 2015; Mr. N. Modi would complete 1 full year as Prime Minister of India. Have seen several articles issuing his "report card" for the period. But the general consensus within the voting population is that the PM would probably score a C (for Can do better) for his own performance; while his government gets a big D (for disaster). Even their ardent supported - Baba Ramdev seems to agree with it. Well it's certainly a lot better than the F (for F@#K off) that the Nation gave to the previous PM and his government - booting it out last year.


There is growing belief that the "Acche Din" or good days promised by the PM were not exactly meant for everyone. Neither the "Jawan" (soldier) nor the "Kissan" (farmer) and not even the 'Aam Admi" (Common Man) entirely thrilled with the new rule despite a spate of policy announcements supposedly meant to favour them. His "Swachh Bharat" (Clean India) and "Beti Bachao - Beti padhao" (Save the daughter - educate the daughter) initiatives were both well meaning; but both have yielded very little success. In fact the mummer is getting louder by the day that a lot of the money allocated for social uplifting schemes has been misused if not siphoned. The government's claim of arresting prices of essential daily use items is a laugh and one to create a stable tax regime a bigger laugh based on what the nation is experiencing. The Indian economic story looks like an insane roller coaster on the back of a falling rupee - rising oil prices - falling industrial output - rising uncertainty in tax and financial policies - falling agricultural output  - rising trade deficit.   India suddenly looks like an uncertain overpriced market from an equity perspective; and that was until a month back the only one dancing with joy.

It may look like there were too many expectations from all quarters; and for some time eveb the global situation seemed to conspire in making Mr. Modi's vision statement come true. But Oil is back in the 60s; there is a US election looming next year; and Europe is figuring out how to teach German (fiscal control) to the Greeks in addition to several other global headaches that directly or indirectly impact India. Now; industry feels the government talked big and delivered very little. Many blame Modi's duality when it comes to decision making as a reason for not being able to walk his talk and others the excess baggage in terms of his fundamentalist mentors in the RSS.   Mr. Modi has certainly realized that running India is no where like running a single state. Fortunately, the PM has worked his charm overseas in practically every nation that matters; and that in a way may be the saving grace for a better India tomorrow. I for one believe that the world sees turbulent Indian scenario as an investment opportunity; and if you don't believe me just take a look at the investment pouring into India's e-economy from foreign investors.

Well; Rome (referring to the empire)was not built in a day; and given time many of this government's policies will bring in changes for the better. If not; the new improved better than before rebooted Rahul Gandhi and his merry men are preparing to take back Parliament house in 2019.

Going by whatever is happening now - here are my 10 wishes for an India in 2019:

While the tempting thought of seeing the Rupee Dollar exchange rate to go below 50:1 may be a pipe dream; most of what I have tabled above as a wish list are not. 



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Abe pitches for Shinkansen system for bullet trains in India

The Shinkansen bullet train system is world's first system for high speed trains running up to 320 kmph
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South Korea offers $10 billion for smart cities

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India and China sign deals worth $22bn as Modi ends visit

BBC 16 May 2015
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-32762930
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China non-committal to reciprocate PM Narendra Modi’s gesture on extending e-visas





First-Year Real Estate Report Card Of The Modi Cabinet




Tuesday, May 12, 2015

"Life's Been Good to me so far"

Inspired by Joe Walsh - eagles.

I have a small house
all say it's cute
Ain't always lived here
the location is beaut.

I build new hotels
Tear out their walls
I have investors
Pay for it all

They say I'm crazy but I have a good time
I'm just looking for clues at the scene of the crime
Life's been good to me so far

My Land Rover
Does just eighteen point five.
I lost my patience
Now I don't drive

I take a Metro
Ride to my work
I hold my pockets
In case it is picked

I'm writing blogs now
My fans - they can't wait
They send me comments
Telling me they are great

So I got me a Mac now
To pen my first book
Just wait for it now
It will surely be good

Lucky I'm sane after all I've been through
(Everybody sing) I'm cool (He's cool)
I can't complain but sometimes I still do
Life's been good to me so far

I go to parties
Sometimes until four
It's hard to leave
When you can't find the door

It's tough to handle
People with fortune and fame
Everybody's so different
I haven't changed

They say I'm lazy but it takes all my time
(Everybody sing) Oh yeah (Oh yeah)
I keep on going guess I'll never know why
Life's been good to me so far baby,
inside the Sad Earth Cafe.

Friday, May 8, 2015

Domo Arigato Ms. Roboto. (どうもありがとうございました Mizu Roboto)

robot hotel japan
Picture this:


Hotel staffed by humanoid robots set to open in Japan this summer  



The hotel industry is growing; at least for now (and there is good reason for my cynicism. But that's a matter for another blog). Industry pundits predict that the maximum growth will happen in the affordable segment - be it mid market or budget. Unlike airlines (that have succeeded for now); hotels have been unable to get away with the lean service and pay per use models - at least in Asia where a guest expects to be served irrespective of the hotel's price point. To counter the cost of high real estate, build cost and keep a competitive edge; a hotel has very little option other than to lower costs of operations while still maintaining the expected level of services desired by guests. By and large, hotels have succeeded in bringing down utility and marketing costs using technology. The industry has also succeeded in using technology to considerably reduce the staff to room ratio. Sourcing, training and maintaining skilled labour has over time become one of the most expensive propositions to consider.

Then would an army of robot not be every hotel owner's dream? A one time investment in a robot equals a year or two of wages paid to a human for doing the same job. After all, human labour too behaves robotic when it comes to performing a task. How many times have you heard a staff member say "It's not my job" when there is the slightest deviation to what that person has been asked to do or multitask?  But a robot does what it is programmed to do - be it single or multitasking without a sound - well almost - if you ignore the mechanical and electronic sounds it will make during tasking.  Robots do not require work breaks (except in case of a break down), holidays, leaves, shifts, subsidized staff meals. Robots can be updated (trained) through software upgrade in minutes; carry out multiple monotonous tasks with clinical efficiency; speak in multiple programmed languages; will not cheat or steal from the guest or till; insensitive to gratitude or brickbats from guests; and possibly prejudicial events that may become potentials for a law suit. Surely there will be some guests kinky enough to make a pass at a robot as well.

Impersonal; yes - but staff in general are becoming quite impersonal too when you consider the amount of outsourcing and self serving happening in this segment. In turn, guests would get efficient service from check in to check out for which they don't have to either tip or say thank you for. They can be sure of their own safety as much of their belongings. It maybe a novelty today but a practice tomorrow.    

Efficient as it may sound; I am still old school and for me hotels are all about the human touch. Being greeted by a human with a genuine smile on check in and a genuine sounding "thank you and hope to see you again" will always win over an electronic voice. Guess robots will take over the menial tasks and maybe that's for the better as long as the toilet bowl sparkles and the bed is made to perfection. Artificial Intelligence to the degree required to anticipate and cure situations seems still in a distance - and praying that it comes after I am long gone. I would hate leaving a hotel saying "Domo Arigato Mizu. Roboto" and hope that by accident - it does not kill me.





BRING ON THE BORING ROBOTS

WHY AUTONOMOUS BUTLERS ARE THE BEGINNING OF UBIQUITOUS ROBOTICS

This restaurant replaced humans with robot waiters




Japan’s “Weird Hotel” has a robot dinosaur for a receptionist

Henn na hotel ditches the humans for an almost entirely robotic staff.



A Web-reading bot made millions on the options market. It also ate this guy’s lunch.